Census and You June[541]

Monthly News From the U.S. Bureau of the Census CENSUS Volume 31, No. 6 June 1996 More “Empty Nests” Projections of families and households to 2010 As “baby boomers” age, we should see fewer and fewer “Ozzie and Harriet” families and more and more “empty nest” ones, according to Census Bureau projections. By 2010, boomers will range in age from their late 40’s to their early 60’s. Even the youngest boomer women will have moved out of their childbearing years. The children of most boomers, in fact, will be grown. As the graph suggests, about 72 percent of all households will be childless in 2010. The chances that a family will contain a mother, father, and children under 18 are expected to drop from 36 percent to 30 percent between 1995 and 2010. The combination of more families with no children present and more people living alone could mean shrinking households (a projected Relatively Fewer Families With Kids Percent distribution of U.S. households, by type: 1995 and 2010 (projected) 1995 2010 Nonfamily Persons living alone Other Families without children Married couple Other Families with children 25.2% Married couple Female householder Male householder 6.6% 6.3% 20.1% 7.1% 8.3% 29.5% 31.5% 5.2% 5.4% 24.9% 26 .8% 1.6% 1.6% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Department of Commerce, Projections of the Number of Households and Families in the United States: 1995 to 2010, Series P25-1129. U.S. Department of Commerce Economics and Statistics Administration BUREAU OF THE CENSUS decline from 2.62 persons to 2.53 persons, on average) and shrinking families (3.15 to 3.05). Since there are expected to be fewer young adults around to form new households, we also project a slower rate of growth in the number of households over the next 15 years. Continued on page 2 Inside This Issue! • State Lotteries, page 3. • Service Industries, page 4. • 65+ Population, page 5. • Black Population, page 6. • ’96 Census Test, page 7. • Census Data on the Web, page 9. • Foreign Trade Data, page 12. 2 Projections Continued from page 1 14.6 You can find these figures in a report entitled Projections of the Number of Households and Families in the United States: 1995 to 2010, Series P25-1129. The projections are presented by type of household and age of householder. Also shown are the average size of households and families, the marital status of the population, and the number of families with children. You can order the report for $3 from the U.S. Government Printing Office (stock number 803-004-001389) or access it through our Web site (www.census.gov/). Select “Market Place” and then click on the blinking link for the subscription service. You can also access some of these data by choosing “Subjects A-Z,” “Population,” and “Population Projections.” For more information about the report, contact Gregory Spencer, Population Division (301-457-2428). We previously published national projections to 2050; State projections to 2025 are on the horizon. Questions or Orders • Press inquiries, contact – Public Information Office U.S. Census Bureau Washington, DC 20233-0900 301-457-3030 Fax: 301-457-3670 • To order computer tapes, 1990 census maps, microcomputer diskettes, CD-ROM’s, and microfiche, contact – Customer Services U.S. Census Bureau Washington, DC 20233-0800 301-457-4100 Fax: 301-457-3842 TDD: 301-457-4611 • To order reproductions of unpublished and out-of-print maps or specified publications, contact – Data Preparation Division U.S. Census Bureau Jeffersonville, IN 47132 812-288-3192 (Maps) 812-288-3917 (Publications) • To order reports, contact – Superintendent of Documents Government Printing Office Washington, DC 20402-9371 202-512-1800 Fax: 202-512-2233 (subscriptions) 202-512-2250 (all other publications) Tools to Do the Job Yourself! Our Web site has several data access tools you really should try. Two – the “1990 Census Lookup” and the “U.S. Gazetteer” – we describe in this issue (see page 9). In future issues, we’ll touch on other interactive Web tools such as “DataMap,” “Thematic Mapping Service,” and the “Data Extraction System.” The mapping tools, for example, put the resources of the Census Bureau’s TIGER/Line files at your disposal. Access our home page (www.census. gov/) and give these tools a workout. Census Regional Offices Census and You Editorial Information Editor: Neil Tillman Volume 31, No. 6 June 1996 Contributors: Molly Abramowitz, Robert Bernstein, Patricia Dunton, Barbara Hatchl, and Mary Thomas. Please send your comments to Neil Tillman, Public Information Office, U.S. Census Bureau, Washington, DC 20233-0900 (301-457-2822). Subscription Information For sale by the Government Printing Office. $21 per year; $26.25 for foreign mailing. Make check or money order for the subscription payable to the Superintendent of Documents and send to the Government Printing Office, Washington, DC 20402-9371. Use the code “DUN” in your order. To subscribe using a MasterCard, VISA, or GPO deposit account, call the Government Printing Office at 202-512-1800. To correct subscription problems, contact GPO at 202-512-2303. Note: All brand names are the trademarks and registered trademarks of their manufacturers. Atlanta TDD Boston TDD Charlotte TDD Chicago TDD Dallas TDD Denver TDD Detroit TDD Kansas City TDD Los Angeles TDD New York TDD Philadelphia TDD Seattle TDD 404-730-3833 404-730-3964 617-424-0510 617-424-0565 704-344-6144 704-344-6548 708-562-1740 708-562-1791 214-767-7105 214-767-7181 303-969-7750 303-969-6769 313-259-1875 313-259-5169 913-551-6711 913-551-5839 818-904-6339 818-904-6249 212-264-4730 212-264-3863 215-597-8313 215-597-8864 206-728-5314 206-728-5321 Census and You / June 1996 3 ECONOMIC UPDATE State Lotteries Gave $15 Billion in Prize Money in 1994 Prize money from State lotteries totaled $15.3 billion in 1994, according to data released via the Census Bureau’s Web site. States took in $26.6 billion. All but 14 States have lotteries. Massachusetts paid out the most in prize money – $1.7 billion. Check out our Web site for State government revenues and expenditures. For each State, you get a detailed breakdown of where the revenue came from and how the money was spent. How much was spent on education? Crime prevention? Natural resources? This is the place to look. Access our home page (www. census.gov/), and select “Subjects A-Z,” “Governments,” and “State Government Finance Data by State,” and then access the 1994 data. For more information about the statistics, contact Henry Wulf, Governments Division (1-800-242-2184; hwulf@census.gov). State-Administered Lottery Funds: 1994 ($Thous.) Income — ticket sales excluding commissions Total Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming $26,588,320 233,355 1,816,321 269,355 523,746 95,890 2,043,587 1,010,159 72,515 1,373,554 526,800 185,653 144,448 448,982 324,655 145,197 932,327 2,306,091 1,249,917 311,691 329,970 35,417 52,853 104,423 1,353,623 2,176,356 1,803,079 703,437 1,462,426 167,711 92,290 2,471,555 49,856 854,889 314,580 131,452 470,160 Proceeds available from ticket sales $10,119,378 83,878 686,680 74,184 191,422 35,140 853,702 740,582 17,201 525,875 185,840 47,222 48,073 122,693 126,412 51,042 386,331 578,132 513,814 60,288 112,680 9,283 14,092 37,587 602,436 1,004,879 592,892 108,546 628,108 54,740 67,707 927,334 16,625 304,723 102,582 41,429 165,224 - Prizes $15,296,376 123,767 966,351 167,749 309,072 53,409 1,071,087 550,493 41,333 794,716 311,545 116,502 79,390 291,266 174,741 79,873 507,473 1,659,338 683,995 192,254 189,288 18,149 26,682 61,136 708,722 1,107,476 1,115,020 440,657 782,974 109,803 17,722 1,532,407 29,016 465,630 167,790 75,860 273,690 - Administration $1,542,857 25,710 163,290 27,422 23,252 7,341 118,798 89,375 13,981 52,963 29,415 21,929 16,985 35,023 23,502 14,282 38,523 68,621 52,108 59,149 28,002 7,985 12,079 5,700 42,465 64,001 95,167 154,234 51,344 3,168 6,861 11,814 4,215 84,536 44,208 14,163 31,246 - New Home Page! The address hasn’t changed, but our page is snazzier and easier to navigate. Parts are still under construction so the renovation isn’t complete, but we hope you find your visit there more pleasurable. Our address is www.census.gov/. - Represents zero. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Department of Commerce, Web: www.census.gov/. Census and You / June 1996 4 ECONOMIC UPDATE Legal Eagles – And Other Services Are we getting more mellow? Whatever the explanation, we may be getting a little less litigious. According to the Census Bureau report, Service Annual Survey: 1994, taxable legal services firms took in an estimated $114 billion in receipts in 1994, up only 2 percent from 1993. This marks the smallest year-to-year percent rise in the last decade. The legal services industry is one of many service industries profiled. Also covered are other service industries: travel and lodging, personal services, business services, professional services, real estate, automotive repair, motion picture, amusement and recreation, health services, and social services, plus vocational schools, museums, and libraries. Public Golf Courses Now the Leading Amusement and Recreation Services Growth Industry Amusement and recreation services (SIC 79), estimated 1993-1994 percent change in receipts for taxable firms, by kind of business Dance studios, schools, & halls (SIC 791) Bands, orchestras, entertainers, & theatrical producers (except motion picture) (SIC 792) Bowling centers (SIC 793) Professional sports clubs & promoters (SIC 7941) Racing, including track operation (SIC 7948) Physical fitness facilities (SIC 7991) Public golf courses (SIC 7992) Coin-operated amusement devices (SIC 7993) Amusement parks (SIC 7996) Membership sports & recreation clubs (SIC 7997) 4.3% 7.0% -3.1% 4.1% 11.4% 1.3% 6.9% 4.5% 8.9% 7.4% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Department of Commerce, Service Annual Survey: 1994, Series BS/94. A Night at the Movies Doesn’t Always Mean a Trip to the Theater Anymore Motion picture theaters (SIC 783) and video tape rental establishments (SIC 784), estimated receipts for taxable firms: 1985-94 $Bils. $8 $6.7 bils. $6 $3.8 bils. Video tape rental establishments $2.7 bils. 0 ’85 ’86 ’87 ’88 ’89 ’90 ’91 ’92 ’93 ’94 Motion picture theaters $6.5 bils. $4 $2 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Department of Commerce, Service Annual Survey: 1994, Series BS/94. The report shows receipts for taxable firms and revenue and expenses for taxexempt firms and organizations for 1994 and preceding years. For many major industry groups, data are presented for both three- and four-digit SIC’s. Industry definitions and copies of the questionnaires are included in the appendices. To order the report, Service Annual Survey: 1994, Series BS/94, contact Customer Services (301-457-4100). Selected tables from the report are available on our Web site. For more information about the statistics, contact Thomas Zabelsky, Services Division (301-457-2766). Census and You / June 1996 5 Elderly Population to Double in Eight States by 2020 According to a comprehensive new report released by the Census Bureau, eight States are projected to double their elderly populations by the year 2020. All but one are in the West; Georgia is the exception. In 1993, nine of the largest States had more than one million elderly. Census Bureau projections indicate that by the year 2020, 19 States will have more than one million elderly residents. Kevin Kinsella, Census Bureau analyst, says, “These data are important because they confirm that States need to prepare their resources for an increasingly aged population. Some States ‘age’ because of in-migration of elderly, some because of out-migration of the young, and some because of sustained low fertility or some combination of these factors.” The report also dispels several myths concerning the elderly such as Eight Fastest-Growing States in 65+ Population: 1993 to 2020 (Thous.) Population 65+ 1993 2020 Nevada 155 Arizona 529 Colorado 357 Georgia 695 Washington 612 Alaska 26 Utah 165 California 3,303 333 1,121 743 1,419 1,245 54 334 6,622 Percent change 115.6 111.9 108.0 104.0 103.5 103.3 102.4 100.5 The full report is on the Web (www. census.gov/) through our subscription service. Click on “Market Place” and look for the blinking link identifying the service. Just check under “Population – General Characteristics.” More Data on the Elderly When the 65+ report (see related story, left) was released, all the major media covered it. This story touches almost everyone – politicians, government analysts, entrepreneurs, health care providers, and just plain folks concerned about their parents or their own retirement. For a guide to data on the elderly available from the Federal Government, get Data Base News in Aging free from our Population Division (301-457-2422). Topics covered include demographics, health, housing, labor force, income, etc. Two CD-ROM’s have detailed 1990 census data on this population. The first is the Special Tabulation on Aging (STP 14), a multi-disc set with statistics down to the level of block numbering areas and census tracts. The second is the Older Population of the United States (SSTF 19), due for release this month; this file consists of one disc ($150) with detail to the State level. Customer Services (301-4574100) can supply more information. Contact Customer Services also for We the American Elderly, a simple, colorful report with data from the 1990 census. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Department of Commerce, 65+ in the United States Series, Series P23-190. New on the Site A few clicks into our home page (“New on the Site”) and you’ve got national data on any industry covered in the 1992 Economic Census. Click on a major industry group (e.g., retail trade) and you get a table showing data for the industries in that group. Click on an item (e.g., establishments) in the header of the table and up pops a definition. We collect extensive data in the Economic Census; this site makes it simple for you to access a selection from the whole data base. most elderly people are poor and sick. It isn’t until people reach their mideighties that a significant proportion need help with everyday activities. For example, almost 1 in 4 persons (24 percent) 85 years and older lives in a nursing home, and 50 percent of those in this age group need help with everyday activities. This report was supported by funding from the National Institute on Aging, a component of the National Institutes of Health. The 200-page report shows the elderly’s social, economic, and health characteristics and draws comparisons by State and county, and with selected nations of the world. 65+ in the United States is available for $16 from the U.S. Government Printing Office (stock number 803-005-10043-0). Census and You / June 1996 6 Gains in Educational Attainment Continue for Blacks Blacks continue to make gains in educational attainment. In 1995, 74 percent aged 25 and over were high school graduates, while 13 percent had a bachelor’s degree, up from 51 percent and 8 percent, respectively, in 1980. However, Blacks still lag behind non-Hispanic Whites in college completion: 25 percent of non-Hispanic Whites were college grads in 1995. This information is just a sample of what’s contained in detailed tables profiling the Nation’s Black population that you can get via the Web or from our Population Division. Collected in the March 1995 Current Population Survey, the statistics cover a multitude of topics, including age distribution, marital status, educational attainment, family and household type, family and household size, presence and number of children, age of householder, labor force status, occupation, income, earnings, poverty status, and regional distribution. The tables are available three different ways – • Paper listings. PPL-45, “The Black Population in the United States: March 1995,” is available for $25.90 from our Population Division (301457-2422). • Diskette. PE-41, which costs $20, also can be ordered from the Population Division. • Our Web site. Go to www. census.gov/, and select “Subjects A-Z” and “Race.” For more information on the content of the tables, contact Claudette Bennett or Barbara Martin, Population Division (301-457-2402). Black Workers Continue to Earn Less Than Their Non-Hispanic White Counterparts Total money earnings in 1994 of persons 25 years old and over who worked year-round, full-time Blacks Men Bachelor’s degree or more Some college or associate degree High school graduate Not a high school graduate $26,920 $33,120 $22,030 $29,320 $19,940 $22,470 $36,070 $48,590 Non-Hispanic Whites Dollars and Sense Women Bachelor’s degree or more Some college or associate degree High school graduate Not a high school graduate* * Earnings not statistically different. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Department of Commerce, PPL-45. “The Black Population in the United States: March 1995.” $21,050 $23,690 $17,750 $20,040 $13,950 $14,930 $31,890 $33,720 Find economic data confusing? A new Census Bureau Web page can get you on the right path toward the economic data you need. Access our site (www.census.gov/) and select “Current Economic Indicators.” Up pops a reference table that will steer you to economic data about people (e.g., income) or business and guide you to other sites with economic information (e.g., GDP). Census and You / June 1996 7 CENSUS 2000 Which Questions Will Work Best? Some American homes had a surprise in March: a newly designed census questionnaire that didn’t look like any they’d ever received before. No, the 2000 census form didn’t come early: these homes took part in a test. We actually tried to lessen the surprise by sending them a notice a few days earlier that they would be participating in a test and would receive a questionnaire. A few days after they received the questionnaire, we sent them a postcard to thank them for returning the form or to remind them to respond. (Our March issue described the user-friendly “designer” questionnaires used in the test.) Finally, we sent another questionnaire to those we did not hear from, with a message encouraging them to respond. All these features (“designer” questionnaires, advance notice, reminders, and replacement questionnaires) are part of the Census Bureau’s search for ways to improve mail response – of ensuring that people recognize the questionnaire when they get it in the mail, that they have no trouble filling it in, and that they have every encouragement to mail it back promptly. We conducted the mail-out as part of the 2000 Census Test, formerly known as the 1996 National Content Survey. This test will help us determine which specific question wording, format, and sequence elicit the most accurate response. It also tests alternative form designs and assesses the differences in coverage, completeness, and cooperation. The test uses 13 different questionnaires – 7 “simple” forms (formerly known as the “short” forms) and 6 “sample” forms (which include the questions on the simple form and additional questions asked of a sample of the population). The simple forms were sent to 42,000 households; the sample forms, to 52,500 households. During May and June, we are reinterviewing a sample of households that returned their questionnaires to see which forms worked best. We are conducting the reinterviews using computer-assisted telephone interviewing. This is a method of collecting data in which telephone interviewers at a central facility ask the questions displayed on their computer screens and enter the responses directly into the computer, as the interviewee answers. Using the information we obtain from the mailout and reinterview, we will ascertain the accuracy and reliability of the questions. We expect to have the final results by the end of 1996. In the spring of 1997, as required by law, we will submit to Congress a list of topics planned for Census 2000. A Million or More Counties with a million or more people: July 1, 1995 Population Los Angeles County, CA Cook County, IL Harris County, TX San Diego County, CA Orange County, CA Maricopa County, AZ Kings County, NY Wayne County, MI Dade County, FL Queens County, NY Dallas County, TX King County, WA San Bernardino County, CA Santa Clara County, CA New York County, NY Philadelphia County, PA 9,138,789 5,136,877 3,076,867 2,644,132 2,563,971 2,432,372 2,244,021 2,055,500 2,031,336 1,963,628 1,959,281 1,595,243 1,569,586 1,565,253 1,518,910 1,498,971 Broward County, FL Middlesex County, MA Cuyahoga County, OH Riverside County, CA Suffolk County, NY Alameda County, CA Allegheny County, PA Nassau County, NY Bexar County, TX Tarrant County, TX Bronx County, NY Oakland County, MI Sacramento County, CA Hennepin County, MN Franklin County, OH St. Louis County, MO Population 1,412,165 1,408,450 1,398,169 1,379,801 1,353,704 1,323,312 1,309,821 1,305,772 1,296,731 1,278,606 1,187,798 1,153,461 1,103,499 1,053,467 1,011,019 1,007,834 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Department of Commerce, PPL-37. "Population Estimates for Counties (Sorted by 1995 Population Size Within U.S.): July 1, 1995." Census and You / June 1996 8 Babies Born to Adolescent Mothers Face Higher Mortality Risks Infant deaths per 1,000 live births by age of mother 15-19 Sub-Saharan Africa Botswana (1988) Burkina (1993) Burundi (1987) Cameroon (1991) Ghana (1993) Kenya (1993) Liberia (1986) Madagascar (1992) Malawi (1992) Mali (1987) Namibia (1992) Niger (1992) Nigeria (1990) Rwanda (1992) Senegal (1992/1993) Sudan (Northern) (1989/1990) Tanzania (1992/1992) Togo (1988) Uganda (1988/1989) Zambia (1992) Zimbabwe (1988) 35 146 138 105 91 75 177 128 179 177 67 156 121 121 92 88 126 90 120 123 78 42 98 87 68 69 58 155 100 126 116 64 125 79 90 71 76 89 79 104 92 48 20-29 Over 300 Million Births to Adolescents Expected in Developing Countries Over Next 25 Years Each year about 13 million babies are born to women ages 15 to 19 in developing countries. In fact, we project that between 1995 and 2020 there will be over 300 million births to these adolescent mothers, according to a new report from the Census Bureau, Trends in Adolescent Fertility and Contraceptive Use in the Developing World (IPC/95-1). This report combines demographic estimates and projections from the Census Bureau’s International Data Base with survey data collected over the past 25 years under three major non-Census Bureau survey programs: the Demographic and Health Surveys program carried out by Macro International, Inc. from 1984 to the present; the World Fertility Survey program overseen by the International Statistical Institute during the 1970’s and early 1980’s; and the family health and contraceptive prevalence surveys carried out by the Centers for Disease Control since 1985. Data are available for 56 countries, representing three-quarters of the developing world’s population (excluding China). According to the report, 13 percent of all children born in developing countries each year are born to adolescent mothers, about the same as in the United States. “These are high-risk births, endangering the health of both the mother and the child,” says Tom McDevitt, the report’s author. Although there has been some decline in adolescent fertility rates in developing countries during the past 10 to 15 years, the decline is offset by increases in the numbers of women ages 15-19 at risk of becoming pregnant. McDevitt points out that the report focuses on four major factors influencing adolescent childbearing – age at first marriage, residence, educational attainment, and contraceptive use. Special attention is given to contraceptive use because of its programmatic relevance in many developing countries. The data show that the use of modern methods of family planning by adolescent women has risen in most countries of the developing world during the past 10 to 15 years. At the same time, 15 to 45 percent of married adolescent women in each region of the developing world report that they want to postpone or stop having children, but are not using contraception. Copies of the report are available free from the Census Bureau’s International Programs Center (fax 301-4571539; ipc@census.gov). You can access the report via our new Internet subscription service. Access our home page (www.census. gov/) and then select the subscription service. For more information about the statistics, contact Tom McDevitt, International Programs Center in our Population Division (301-457-1371). Asia/Near East/North Africa Egypt (1992) 118 India (Uttar Pradesh) (1992/1993) 151 Indonesia (1991) 113 Jordan (1990) 52 Morocco (1992) 107 Pakistan (1990/1991) 121 Philippines (1993) 42 Sri Lanka (1987) 34 Thailand (1987) 40 Tunisia (1988) 69 Turkey (1993) 93 Yemen (1991/1992) 125 Latin America/Caribbean Bolivia (1994) Brazil (North East) (1991) Colombia (1990) Dominican Republic (1991) Ecuador (1989) El Salvador (1993) Guatemala (1987) Mexico (1987) Paraguay (1990) Peru (1991/1992) Trinidad and Tobago (1987) 89 87 32 67 58 54 98 63 52 79 43 73 104 65 36 59 91 34 33 33 56 55 94 79 89 25 38 40 32 72 53 29 58 28 Note: Year of survey in parentheses. Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, Department of Commerce, Trends in Adolescent Fertility and Contraceptive Use in the Developing World, Series IPC/95-1. Census and You / June 1996 9 Detailed ’90 Census Data for All Areas – Via the Web News often breaks in the unlikeliest of places – in a remote spot deep in Montana or on an island off the coast of South Carolina. You haven’t been there perhaps, but the Census Bureau has – in the course of data collection for the 1990 Census of Population and Housing. And if you are a journalist hungry for information about a remote area, you can obtain a wealth of information in minutes – with the help of our Web site. Much of the information the Census Bureau gathered in the census is available to you through the “1990 Census Lookup” or the “U.S. Gazetteer.” Access our Web site and you’ll have access to all the data stored for areas on Summary Tape Files 1 and 3, the two most popular files from the decennial census. A few simple keystrokes and you can learn more about Jordan, Montana, for example, than you probably know about your own neighborhood. You can learn about the racial and ethnic makeup of the people, their lives, homes, families, work, and so forth. You can learn which county Jordan is in (Garfield County) so you can widen your search. You can even get a small map. The “Gazetteer” is a data base of places derived from Summary Tape File 1A, but (as the illustration, right, shows) has links to the “Lookup,” thus allowing you to access all the tables in STF’s 1 and 3 (though not for all levels of geography; e.g., census tracts). The “Lookup” and the “Gazetteer” were developed by the Census Bureau and the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory at the University of California. Originally the “Lookup” linked to CD-ROM’s online at Lawrence Berkeley. Now if you come through our Web site, you’ll access the discs at Census. Census Bureau programmer Chris Stuber was a key player in developing the “Lookup,” which had the distinction of being named a “cool site” on the Web. Right now Chris is refining the service. “We’re trying to make it so other kinds of browsers can access it and to make it friendlier. We’re adding more geographic summary levels, new data sets, and better keyword searches.” To access the “Lookup” or the “U.S. Gazetteer,” land on the Census Bureau’s home page (www.census.gov/) and then click on “Access Tools” and on “1990 Census Lookup” or the “U.S. Gazetteer.” These tools are ideal for journalists, analysts, planners – anyone who needs to gather lots of data in a hurry about even the Nation’s most remote places. U.S. Gazetteer Gives You Access to a Data Base of Places U.S. Gazetteer Select one of the following matches to your query to look at that place in the TIGER Map Browser or retrieve 1990 census tables. You can also enter a new query. This is a searchable index. Enter search keywords: • Jordan, MT (town) Population (1990): 494 Location: 47.32115 N, 106.91002 W ZIP Code(s): 59337 Browse Tiger Map of area. Lookup 1990 Census STF1A, STF3A tables. In Gazetteer, select a place such as Jordan and you can access tables from STF’s 1 and 3 to profile it. *Note: This data set is derived from 1990 census STF1A and does not contain unincorporated place names. The places database used in this service is available for downloading. Please E-mail comments and suggestions to: WebMaster@Census.GOV. The “U.S. Gazetteer” and the “1990 Census Lookup” draw on the same data bases – the 1990 census Summary Tape Files 1 and 3, though with different approaches. Both allow you to select tables from these files to profile a specific area. The “Gazetteer” is a data base of places and ZIP Codes. The “Lookup” allows you to access multiple geographic areas at one time and includes other kinds of areas (e.g., counties). Census and You / June 1996 10 Cynthia Clark Appointed Associate Director for Statistical Design, Methodology, and Standards Cynthia Z.F. Clark returns to the Census Bureau as our newly appointed Associate Director for Statistical Design, Methodology, and Standards. She comes to us after 5 years at the National Agricultural Statistics Service as director of survey management. In the past, she held several positions in the Agriculture Division of the Census Bureau including Assistant Division Chief for Research and Methodology. She served as an economic statistician at the Office of Federal Statistical Policy and Standards in the Department of Commerce and as a statistical policy analyst in its successor organization, the Office of Management and Budget. She has also taught mathematics and statistics at several universities. Dr. Clark holds M.S. and Ph.D. degrees in statistics from Iowa State University and M.A. (University of Denver) and B.A. (Mills College) degrees in mathematics. She is a member of the Federal Committee on Statistical Methodology (FCSM) and is currently chairing a FCSM subcommittee on survey and statistical training at Federal statistical agencies. She recently served on the Natural Resource and Conservation Service’s Blue Ribbon Panel evaluating its information needs and data management. She is a member of the InterCASIC ’96 Planning Committee. Dr. Clark has been active in a variety of professional and volunteer activities: she served as chair of the American Statistical Association’s Committee on Privacy and Confidentiality (1987-1990), president of the Caucus for Women in Statistics (1989), and president of the USDA Chapter of the Senior Executive Association (1994-1996). Cynthia Clark David Findley Receives Shiskin Award Census statistician David F. Findley has been given the Julius Shiskin Award for 1996, for distinction in the field of economic statistics. Findley is world-renowned for his work on seasonal adjustment. The award was established by the family of the late Julius Shiskin and is administered by the Washington Statistical Society and the National Association of Business Economists. The award both memorializes Shiskin who spent his career as a celebrated government economic statistician and encourages others to engage in innovative work in economic statistics. Made up of representatives of the economic statistics community, the committee cited David Findley’s outstanding leadership in improving seasonal adjustment methodology for the economic time series at the Census Bureau, throughout the Federal Government, and throughout the world. David Findley Census and You / June 1996 11 U.S. STATISTICS AT A GLANCE Economic Indicators Latest data Unit Latest month Previous month Last year Percent change from previous month year Business ............................................................................................................ Sources: Census Bureau, Federal Reserve Board Retail: Sales Inventory Inv./sales ratio Consumer installment credit Merchant wholesalers: Sales Inventory Stock/sales ratio Apr. Mar. Mar. Apr. Mar. Mar. Mar. $Bil. $Bil. Ratio $Bil. $Bil. $Bil. Ratio 203.9 302.9 1.48 1,140.2 194.9 255.3 1.31 204.5 305.1 1.50 1,133.6 194.1 255.6 1.32 193.0 297.4 1.54 1,010.7 183.8 243.2 1.32 -0.3 -0.7 (X) 0.6 0.4 -0.1 (X) 5.6 1.9 (X) 12.8 6.0 5.0 (X) Construction and Housing .................................................................... Sources: Census Bureau, Federal Housing Finance Board Building permits – AR Housing starts – AR New home sales – AR New home mortgage rate – NSA New construction: Total expenditures – AR Current dollars Constant (1992) dollars Residential: Apr. Apr. Apr. Apr. Apr. 1,000 1,000 1,000 Pct. $Bil. $Bil. 1,461 1,519 776 7.76 551.7 486.0 1,415 1,435 727 7.49 544.0 480.2 1,243 1,278 608 8.15 522.1 469.3 3.3 5.9 6.7 3.6 1.4 1.2 17.5 18.9 27.6 -4.8 5.7 3.6 Manufacturing .................................................................................................... Sources: Census Bureau, Federal Reserve Board Durable goods: Shipments New orders Unfilled orders Total goods: Shipments Inventories Inv./ship ratio Index of industrial production Apr. Apr. Apr. Apr. Apr. Apr. Apr. $Bil. $Bil. $Bil. $Bil. $Bil. Ratio 1987=100 166.9 166.0 456.4 304.7 422.5 1.38 123.4 163.9 169.3 457.3 304.7 422.5 1.38 123.4 158.0 155.6 435.9 295.3 405.7 1.37 121.2 1.9 -1.9 -0.2 1.7 -0.2 (X) 0.9 5.7 6.7 4.7 4.9 4.0 (X) 2.7 U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services ............................................................................. Source: Census Bureau Exports of goods and services Imports of goods and services Trade balance Mar. Mar. Mar. $Bil. $Bil. $Bil. 68.8 77.7 -8.9 69.4 76.4 -7.0 65.3 74.4 -9.2 -0.8 1.7 26.8 5.4 4.4 -2.8 Money Supply, Prices, Interest Rates ................................... Sources: Federal Reserve Board, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Treasury Money supply (M1) Consumer Price Index – NSA Producer Price Index1 Prime rate charged by banks2 3-month U.S. T-bill – NSA Apr. Apr. Apr. May May $Bil. 1982-84=100 1982=100 Pct. Pct. 1,124 156.3 130.9 8.25 5.02 1,127 155.7 130.4 8.25 4.99 1,151 151.9 127.6 9.00 5.70 -0.3 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.6 -2.3 2.9 2.6 -8.3 -11.9 Other Principal Indicators ........................................................... Sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Economic Analysis Civilian labor force Unemployment rate Index of leading indicators Personal income – AR May May Apr. Apr. Mil. Rate 1987=100 $Bil. 133.9 5.6 102.1 6,360 Qtr. 1 1996r Chained (1992) dollars: Gross domestic product (GDP) Personal consumption expenditures Gross private domestic investment 133.4 5.4 101.8 6,330 Qtr. 4 1995 131.8 5.7 101.3 6,054 Percent change3 0.4 3.7 0.3 0.5 1.6 -1.8 0.8 5.1 $Bil. $Bil. $Bil. 6,816 4,655 1,010 6,777 4,614 1,007 2.3 3.6 1.2 AR – Annual rate. NSA – Not seasonally adjusted. X – Not applicable. r Revised. 1Finished goods. 2As of end of month. 3Annualized rate. Note: Figures are seasonally adjusted except as noted. Unless otherwise noted, all amounts are in current dollars as of the reference year. Census and You / June 1996 12 U.S. Department of Commerce BUREAU OF THE CENSUS Washington, DC 20233 Official Business Penalty for Private Use, $300 BULK RATE POSTAGE & FEES PAID BUREAU OF THE CENSUS PERMIT No. G-58 Your Own Personal Trade Report! You manufacture sporting goods and are trying to decide if there is room in the field for another exporter. A little-known service offered by the Census Bureau’s Foreign Trade Division can be a boon to businesses looking for information on imports or exports. You shouldn’t make a decision without consulting these data! “golf clubs,” and so forth. Products are selected by the 10-digit commodity code, so the data are customized for each subscriber. If you don’t know the code for the product you’re interested in, we can tell you. . . .And You Can’t Get More Current Data Anywhere! The data are mailed out the day the national trade figures are released to the public. Subscribers are now able to have the data sent to an E-mail address, for even faster service. The cost for the service is $160 per year for each set of 10 commodities. You can order as many sets as you like. For more information, or to subscribe, contact Dick Preuss in our Foreign Trade Division (301-4572311). And Convenient. . . You’ll automatically receive a printout each month that shows the country where the product originated or was exported, its name, commodity code, and where it entered or left the country. It also shows the quantity imported or exported and its value. Quantity and value figures are also given for the year to date so you can track trading patterns throughout the year. Customized. . . Our “1-to-10” subscription service lets you receive current trade data each month. Subscribers select up to 10 commodities from 16,000 import codes and 10,000 export codes. And this doesn’t mean just “sporting goods.” This means “inflatable soccer balls,” “ice skates,” “fishing rods,” Census and You / June 1996